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  • South Africa wheat imports to fall by 14% y/y in 2020/21, thanks to improved local harvest

    South Africa’s 2019/20 winter crops marketing year ended this past week. The key data point most analysts observe are wheat imports, as the country imports about 51% of its annual wheat consumption.

  • South Africa's government plan to release land for farmers is a step in the right direction

    The growth of South Africa’s agricultural fortunes and job creation will, in part, depend on the expansion of agricultural activities in the underutilised former homelands regions and farms that government acquired through the land reform process.

  • Zimbabwe could import more of South Africa’s maize towards the end of this year and into 2021

    In the 2019/20 marketing year, Zimbabwe’s maize imports, specifically from South Africa didn’t gain much momentum until the start of 2020.

  • Available data reinforce optimism about South Africa’s 2020/21 summer crop production season

    We are just over two weeks before the Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) releases data on South African farmers’ intentions to plant summer crops for the 2020/21 season.

  • Remembering Dr Vuyo Mahlati and her contribution to South Africa’s agriculture

    Agriculture has, for a long time, been dominated by men, from leadership positions to primary workers, where only a third of the labour force are women.

  • Prices remain sticky even as crops thrive

    One feature that has characterised global agricultural markets over the past few weeks is rising prices.

  • Expropriation Bill still keeps expropriation a last resort- South Africa

    At the beginning of October, the department of public works and infrastructure published the Expropriation Bill in the Government Gazette along with an explanatory memorandum.

  • Leading global agricultural producers must avoid export restrictions

    Major global agricultural exporting countries are approaching the current Middle East crisis differently than they did in other recent crises.

  • Access to production finance could be a challenge for South Africa farming sector in 2020/21

    South Africa’s 2020 large agricultural output, coupled with higher commodity prices which were precipitated by the weaker domestic currency, coupled with growing global demand improved farmers’ finances somewhat.

  • What next for the land the government wants to distribute?- South Africa

    Agriculture, land reform & rural development minister Thoko Didiza’s announcement that 700,000ha of agricultural land will be released for distribution is a positive step for agricultural expansion and inclusive growth.

  • Persistent dryness in key grains and oilseeds producing regions presents risks to the global harvest- South Africa

     The sentiment about the 2020/21 global grains and oilseeds production prospects is changing from a once optimistic one to potential downward revisions of the harvest.

  • Grain and oilseed forecasts take a dive as dryness threatens global outputs

    It is not my usual practice to revisit the subject of a previous column. But in this instance I am compelled to do so because of the fast-changing global agricultural outlook and its implications for prices.

  • Bigger planting area is ultimately good news for South Africans

    The good news keeps pouring in for SA’s agricultural sector, at least from a production perspective.

  • Zimbabwe's maize import needs continue to bolster South Africa prices

    In the 2019/20 marketing year, Zimbabwe’s maize imports, specifically from South Africa didn’t gain much momentum until the start of 2020.

  • La Niña rains kick off the summer season

    The most crucial time for SA’s summer crop and some horticulture products, and by extension the livestock sector, is between October and February each year.

  • East Africa and South America 2020/21 maize and soybeans crops at risk in a La Niña year

    On 10 November 2020, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology reaffirmed its forecast of a La Niña occurrence from this year until at least February 2021.

  • South Africa records a 5% y/y increase in agriculture exports in Q3, 2020

     The combination of a large harvest, joint efforts between government and private sector to keep agriculture operational since the outset of the lockdown, and long-term efforts of export market development, continue to pay off for the domestic agricultural sector.

  • Agriculture exports hit record on large harvest and efforts to keep sector open

    The combination of a large harvest, joint efforts between the government and the private sector to keep agriculture operational since the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic and the lockdown, and long-term export market development efforts continue to pay off for SA’s agricultural sector.

  • The October uptick in South Africa’s food price inflation may be a temporary blip

    My intention in this blog post is to briefly discuss South Africa’s food price inflation data for October 2020, which showed a sharp increase to a level last seen in August 2017.

  • South Africa agriculture exports hit record on large harvest and efforts to keep sector open

    These products will continue to support SA’s agricultural exports in the final quarter of 2020.

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