• In the midst of the latest merry-go-round with China, once more foreign aid takes centre stage with a bouquet of loan offers, cancellations and grants concocted for the continent. This helps, but is far from the answer to our medium- and long-term development goals. The answer lies with fairer trade and with the continent looking within itself for products and markets. 

  • he U.S. trade deficit widened in August to the biggest in six months as soybean exports plunged and a measure of the gap with China hit a record, showing how the Trump administration’s trade war is dragging on economic growth.

  • Agri-Expo Livestock and the Groot Plaasproe, honoured with the prestigious ROAR exhibition industry award as Best Trade and Consumer Exhibition in Africa in January this year, will be back this week from Thursday 11 to Saturday 13 October at Sandringham outside Stellenbosch.

  • Since June 2024, the survival of South Africa’s national government coalition has hinged on whether voters perceive tangible improvements in their lives, and recent evidence suggests progress in several key areas, often driven by the ANC abandoning long-held ideological positions. Load shedding has vanished, Eskom has introduced a coherent plan to manage load reduction, and Transnet is markedly improving rail services for mining, with Kumba Iron Ore reporting a 7% sales increase on October 29, 2025, due to better rail performance. Transport Minister Barbara Creecy is inviting private sector involvement in railways, including rapid inter-city links, while Higher Education Minister Buti Manamela has launched a process to recognise private universities able to award full degrees, easing pressure on public institutions.
    Gauteng’s driving licence centres have transformed from nightmares to highly rated services, the South African Revenue Service collected more tax than expected in the first half of the fiscal year, and the police and National Prosecuting Authority are showing signs of reform, with figures like Ace Magashule facing charges and dangerous criminals jailed.Yet for millions, especially the poor, these gains feel distant: no load shedding means little when electricity is unaffordable, and improved mining rail transport does not help those who left school early. Still, the structural reforms in electricity and transport should eventually spur investment and growth, though companies currently appear to be hoarding capital rather than expanding.Crucially, the ANC is now implementing changes it once fiercely resisted. It has opened electricity generation and sales to the private sector, invited private rail partnerships, and enabled private universities—shifts led by ANC and even SACP ministers like Creecy and Manamela.
    Eleven years ago, Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi opposed private medical training to prevent only the rich becoming doctors; today, ideology has yielded to necessity. Having failed through state-centric policies and cadre deployment, the ANC faces voter pressure and coalition realities that leave no alternative but pragmatic reform and greater private involvement.This ideological flexibility may foster better policy, enhance democratic accountability, and ease long-term coalition cooperation, as the ANC proves it must deliver real improvements to survive electorally.


    The GNU’s survival now rests onperception, not promises—and for once, the ANC is deliveringresults by dismantling its own sacred cows. Ending load shedding, fixing rail for miners, opening universities to private degrees, and turning licence centres from hell to 4.5-star service aretangible wins that even the most cynical voter can feel. When Kumba Iron Ore logs a 7% sales jump becausetrains actually move, that’s not spin; that’s steel on tracks.But let’s not pop champagne in Sandton while Soweto still counts coins for electricity. The poor see no load shedding yet pay more per unit than ever. A faster coal train doesn’t buy bread for a 14-year-old dropout.
    These reforms are real, but they’re elite-adjacent—they fix systems for those already in the game, not the millions locked out.Thereal story is the ANC eating its ideology alive. The same party that once screamed “privatisation is betrayal” now begs the private sector to run rails, generate power, and teach doctors. Blade Nzimande must be choking on his red beret watching SACP comrade Manamela green-light private universities. Aaron Motsoaledi, who blocked private medical schools to “stop rich kids becoming doctors,” now presides over a health system begging private hospitals to train more medics—becausestate failure left no choice.This isn’t conversion; it’ssurvival. The ANC finally grasped that voters don’t eat manifestos. Coalition politics stripped away the luxury of dogma. When your majority is gone,results trump rhetoric.The danger?Reform theatre.
    If private rail slots go to connected tenders, if private universities become diploma mills for the rich, if tax windfalls fund cadres not classrooms—the GNU dies not from opposition, but frombetraying its own pragmatism.The opportunity? Acompetitive democracy where parties govern bydelivery, not ideology. Where the ANC mustout-perform the DA, not out-slogan it. Where “mixed economy” stops being code for state capture and becomes actual partnership.Verdict:
    The GNU is passing thedelivery test—barely, and only in pockets. But the ANC’s ideological U-turn is the silent earthquake. If it holds, South Africa might just stumble into a future wherepolicy serves people, not party ghosts.
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  • With US President Donald Trump threatening to raise import duties on an additional $267 billion worth of Chinese products on top of the tariffs already in place, it is worth pausing to reflect on what the trade wars of the past can teach us about the likely outcomes of the current dispute, especially as South Africa seems likely to get caught up in the cross-fire. 

  • Two-way agricultural trade between the United States and countries in Southern Africa reached a record $1.5 billion last year, according to most recent international ag trade report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

  • South Africa’s Trade and Industry minister Rob Davies has stated that Brexit will not disrupt trade relations between the UK and SA. Davies said the Southern African Customs Union (Sacu), of which SA is a part, is close to finalising a deal with the UK to replicate the existing economic partnership agreement which the customs union has with the EU. Sacu is a customs union in Southern Africa which includes SA, Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Eswatini (Swaziland). 

  • The world’s grain markets face a year of challenges and uncertainty, with weather and politics likely to drive trade flows and prices, said the keynote speaker at the Global Grain Conference in Geneva, Switzerland.

  • Wandile Sihlobo, agricultural economist, at Agribusiness Research at the Agricultural Business Chamber (Agbiz) of South Africa, comments on South Africa’s agricultural exports.

  • The US and China have for the past three months been locked in discussions about how to overcome a trade dispute that has slowed Chinese economic growth and seen the US-China trade balance slump to a record low last year.

  • I just read an insightful, recently published paper from the International Monetary Fund titled: Is the African Continental Free Trade Area a Game Changer for the Continent?

  • One of the questions I am often asked is whether the US-China trade friction presents any opportunities in the near term that South Africa’s agricultural sector can explore.

  • If I do not write about South Africa’s first quarter of 2019 agricultural trade figures, one would assume that there have been limited positive developments in this sector as the past few months have been clouded by unwelcoming news.

  • If I do not write about South Africa’s first quarter of 2019 agricultural trade figures, one would assume that there have been limited positive developments in this sector as the past few months have been clouded by unwelcoming news.

  • The local Sustainable Cotton Cluster (SCC) is dreaming big. It is planning to launch a sustainable and transparent cotton production and beneficiation pipeline in South Africa, successfully connect it to offshore supply chains, and tap into a growing global consumer conscience.

  • South African agriculture, with certain exceptions, faces slow growth in coming years

  • – Japan will offer enhanced trade insurance to boost private sector investment in Africa, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said on Wednesday as his country competes with rival China for influence in the resource-rich continent.

  • More than 50 African countries took part in the first China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo in China in June, hoping to tap into the massive Chinese market.

  • A united African continent working towards common goals would be a major force on the global economic stage.

  • The African Continental Free Trade Area is a continental agreement which came into force in May 2019.