There is a narrative that has become almost synonymous with African agriculture.





There is a narrative that has become almost synonymous with African agriculture.
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Let us begin with a market fact that is hiding in plain sight. Africa, the continent with extensive arable land, rich diversity of indigenous crops, and a farming tradition older than recorded history, spends more than $100 billion every year importing food from other people’s farms.
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Southern Africa heads into the second half of 2026 with an unusual luxury: full grain silos.
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Until now, African farmers navigating fertiliser shortages have mostly been dealing with logistics and procurement failures – frustrating, but manageable. What is coming for the 2026–2027 planting seasons is neither logistical nor manageable. It is structural, and it is of a different order entirely.
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Globally, agriculture faces mounting pressures. These are driven by climate change, land degradation, labour shortages, supply chain disruptions and the demand for food from a growing population.
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When Senegalese farmer Abou Sow first watched U.S. missiles strike Iran on social media, he had a sinking feeling it would soon affect agriculture in the West African nation. Since the war began on Feb. 28, fertilizer prices have risen by 40%.
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