World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update  6th October 2025

World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update 6th October 2025

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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday that the federal government would support American farmers in light of China's refusal to buy soybeans and that an announcement would be made on Tuesday, reported Reuters.  American farmers overwhelmingly voted for President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election, Bessent said. "We've got their backs," he added in an interview with CNBC. Chinese importers have not yet bought soybeans from the autumn US harvest during the trade war between Washington and Beijing, costing US farmers billions of dollars in lost sales. "It's unfortunate that Chinese leadership has decided to use the American farmers, soybean farmers in particular, as a hostage or pawn in the trade negotiations," Bessent said. Trump said on Wednesday that soybeans would be a major topic of discussion when he meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in four weeks. Almost every recent U.S. trade deal included buying of American farm products, Bessent said, "so we're going to see other countries substitute for China." But despite efforts by the Trump administration and the soybean industry, no other countries have emerged as anywhere near able to replace the volumes that China usually buys. He said a record harvest was also affecting prices. Bessent said he met with Trump and Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins in the Oval Office on Wednesday and to expect some news on Tuesday on support for US farmers, especially soybean farmers. "On Tuesday, you're going to see substantial support for the farmers, and we're also going to be working with the Farm Credit Bureau to make sure that the farmers have what they need for next planting season," Bessent said. It will be very helpful for Trump and China's Xi to meet in person and set the framework for trade going forward, Bessent said. "I think with President Trump's leadership and his relationship - the respect party chair Xi has for him - that this round, which would be our fifth round of talks, should show a pretty big breakthrough," Bessent said.

Global food commodity prices dipped in September as declines in sugar and dairy offset a new peak for meat prices, Reuters reported, citing the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organisation on Friday. The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks a basket of internationally traded food commodities, averaged 128.8 points in September, down from a revised 129.7 in August. The index was up 3.4% on the same month last year, though nearly 20% down from a record level in March 2022 following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 

Lowest sugar prices since March 2021-The indicator, which had climbed to a two-year peak in July before stabilising in August, was curbed last month by a 4.1% drop for FAO's sugar price index, which reached its lowest since March 2021. The fall for sugar reflected an improving supply outlook, with higher than expected production in Brazil and favourable harvest prospects in India and Thailand, FAO said. The agency's dairy price index slipped 2.6% month on month, driven in turn by a sharp decline in butter prices amid increased production prospects in Oceania. FAO's cereal benchmark saw a 0.6% decline from August, with wheat prices dropping for a third straight month due to large harvests and subdued international demand. Maize prices also decreased, partly pressured by a temporary suspension of export taxes in Argentina. The agency's rice index also showed a monthly fall as reduced orders by buyers in the Philippines and Africa weighed.

US beef market drives record meat prices

Vegetable oil prices fell by 0.7% as lower palm and soybean oil quotations offset increases for sunflower and rapeseed oil. In contrast, FAO's meat price indicator rose by 0.7% to a new record high as beef and sheep meat quotations rose. Beef prices also reached a new peak, supported by strong demand in the US amid limited domestic supply. In a separate report, the FAO increased its forecast for global cereal production in 2025 to 2.971 billion metric tons from 2.961 billion tons projected last month. The latest outlook was up 3.8% from 2024 output, marking the largest annual increase since 2013, it said. The upward revision was attributed to higher production prospects for wheat, maize and rice.

Russia's wheat exports for the 2025-26 season (July-September) totaled 11 million tonnes, the slowest start since 2017-18 (except 2022-23's war-disrupted period), per SovEcon, despite a bumper harvest of 87.2 million tonnes (up from 82.6 million last year). Exports are forecast at 43.4 million tonnes (up from 40.8 million), requiring a ramp-up to meet the 2.6 million-tonne increase. Shipments are accelerating in October (4.7-5.2 million tonnes vs. 5.6 million last year), driven by rising Black Sea FOB prices ($233/mt, up $1.5) and weak domestic demand. Challenges include weather/infrastructure bottlenecks (Black Sea storms, Azov freezing) from late October, but SovEcon anticipates steady pace through April-May. The slow start stems from weak early demand, depressed prices, a strong ruble, and southern harvest delays, though low stocks-to-use ratios support long-term firmness. Globally, this contributes to bearish outlooks amid bumper Argentine/Australian crops, though U.S./Canada harvests and Chinese absence add pressure. Analysts like Bruce Burnett note potential for extended exports into the new crop year.

World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update 29th September 2025

Global canola oil demand from the biofuel sector is poised for its first decline in a decade in 2025-26, dropping 2.4 million tonnes in biodiesel/renewable diesel production, per Commonwealth Bank economist Dennis Voznesenski. EU output falls to 14.8 million tonnes from 15.5 million, despite a 12% rapeseed harvest rebound to 19.92 million tonnes (above 5-year average). U.S. biofuel production dips to 14.2 million tonnes from 16 million, hit by poor margins and 47% lower RIN credits (Renewable Identification Numbers). Ukraine's new 10% export tax on rapeseed/soybeans slows shipments, while China's 75.8% anti-dumping duty on Canadian canola seed (effective August 2025) redirects flows, with Beijing favoring Russia/India for meal. This offsets food sector gains, with total vegetable oil demand up 6.78 million tonnes to 229.28 million tonnes (USDA forecast), driven by palm/sunflower/rapeseed tightness and Indonesia's biodiesel mandate.

Prices at British retailers rose at the fastest pace since February 2024 this month as food costs continued to increase rapidly and a decline for non-food items appeared close to an end, industry data showed on Tuesday, reported Reuters. Overall shop prices in September were 1.4% higher than a year earlier, up from a 0.9% inflation rate in August, the British Retail Consortium said, potentially adding to Britain's broader inflation problem.Food price growth remained at 4.2% while non-food prices dropped by 0.1%, a smaller annual decline than the 0.8% fall recorded in August.

"Households are finding shopping increasingly expensive," BRC Chief Executive Helen Dickinson said. "The impact on retailers and their supply chain of both global factors and higher national insurance and wage costs is playing out in prices for consumers."Finance minister Rachel Reeves announced an increase in employers' mandatory social security contributions in her annual budget last year, drawing widespread complaints from retailers.The BRC urged Reeves to avoid fresh levies that would push up prices in her next budget in November.The Bank of England forecasts that the broader consumer prices index - which covers a wider range of goods and services than the BRC measure - will rise to 4% this month, up from 3.8% in August and double the central bank's target.

Policymakers are divided about whether a slowing jobs market is enough to ensure inflation will return to target, or if they need to slow or stop their cuts to interest rates.BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said on Monday that food prices seemed to be having an outsize effect on public perceptions of inflation, especially since a surge in 2022.Dairy and beef prices appeared most affected by farms' rising energy and labour costs, while a new government levy on packaging would push up prices in October, the BRC said.

 

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Commodities Top Performers

Tin 3.64% 37,700.00 USD
Coffee 2.28% 3.88 USD
Rice 1.14% 11.13 USD
Nickel 0.79% 15,230.00 USD
Copper 0.79% 10,537.50 USD

Commodity Prices

Precious Metals Price % +/- Unit Date
Gold
3,885.51
0.00%
0.00
USD per Troy Ounce
07:30:00 AM
Palladium
1,254.00
0.00%
0.00
USD per Troy Ounce
10/3/2025
Platinum
1,613.50
0.00%
0.00
USD per Troy Ounce
10/3/2025
Silver
47.98
0.00%
0.00
USD per Troy Ounce
10/3/2025
Energy Price % +/- Unit Date
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
3.34
-2.00%
-0.07
USD per MMBtu
10/3/2025
Heating Oil
58.91
-0.45%
-0.26
USD per 100 Liter
10/3/2025
Coal
91.70
-0.33%
-0.30
per Ton
10/3/2025
RBOB Gasoline
1.86
0.31%
0.01
per Gallone
10/3/2025
Oil (Brent)
64.36
0.06%
0.04
USD per Barrel
10/3/2025
Oil (WTI)
60.70
0.02%
0.01
USD per Barrel
10/3/2025
Industrial Metals Price % +/- Unit Date
Aluminium
2,706.30
0.12%
3.15
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Lead
1,985.00
-0.13%
-2.50
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Copper
10,537.50
0.79%
82.50
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Nickel
15,230.00
0.79%
120.00
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Zinc
3,057.00
-1.45%
-45.00
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Tin
37,700.00
3.64%
1,325.00
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Agriculture Price % +/- Unit Date
Cotton
0.64
-0.95%
-0.01
USc per lb.
9/25/2025
Oats
2.99
-0.17%
-0.01
USc per Bushel
10/3/2025
Lumber
615.00
0.08%
0.50
per 1.000 board feet
10/3/2025
Coffee
3.88
2.28%
0.09
USc per lb.
10/3/2025
Cocoa
4,299.00
-4.42%
-199.00
GBP per Ton
10/3/2025
Live Cattle
2.31
0.22%
0.01
USD per lb.
10/3/2025
Lean Hog
0.99
0.03%
0.00
USc per lb.
10/3/2025
Corn
4.20
-0.42%
-0.02
USc per Bushel
10/3/2025
Feeder Cattle
3.57
0.67%
0.02
USc per lb.
10/3/2025
Milk
17.21
-0.69%
-0.12
USD per cwt.sh.
10/3/2025
Orange Juice
2.31
-0.50%
-0.01
USc per lb.
10/3/2025
Palm Oil
4,400.00
-0.25%
-11.00
Ringgit per Ton
10/3/2025
Rapeseed
457.75
-0.87%
-4.00
EUR per Ton
10/3/2025
Rice
11.13
1.14%
0.13
per cwt.
10/3/2025
Soybean Meal
270.90
-0.26%
-0.70
USD per Ton
10/3/2025
Soybeans
10.17
-0.51%
-0.05
USc per Bushel
10/3/2025
Soybean Oil
0.49
-0.40%
0.00
USD per lb.
10/3/2025
Wheat
187.75
-0.13%
-0.25
USc per Ton
10/3/2025
Sugar
0.17
0.49%
0.00
USc per lb.
10/3/2025

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