World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update  8th  December  2025

World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update 8th December 2025

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Australia’s key commodities highlights and economic influences for this month. The full report covers the developments to watch in the upcoming weeks. Wheat and barley: Global wheat prices remain under pressure from abundant supply and rising stocks, with Australian basis offering relative strength. However, limited upside is expected unless a major supply shock or geopolitical shift occurs.Canola: EU canola imports are set to fall as production rebounds to near-average levels, while Canadian stocks rise on the back of higher output and tepid crushing growth. Australian production is soaring, year-on-year, with GM canola’s share increasing and limiting price upside.Beef: Cattle prices continue to reflect seasonal conditions. Finished and heavy stock are performing better given the strong export markets, while restocker cattle prices are more reflective of seasonal conditions and producer sentiment.Sheepmeat: Lamb and sheep prices are still bouncing around at high levels. Slaughter numbers appear to be stabilizing around the five-year average, and the lower volumes of lambs may just be starting to temper the buying actions of processors.Wool: Wool prices have remained firm in recent weeks, with the Eastern Market Indicator up 6% MOM. Economic indicators show mixed signals for wool demand: EU consumer confidence is trending higher, while Chinese retail sales growth remains lacklustre.Cotton: ICE #2 Cotton futures fell 3.8% MOM. Cotton markets have faced additional pressure in recent weeks, with the USDA’s WASDE report indicating that global production is likely stronger than previously expected.Farm inputs: It was a mixed month for fertiliser prices, with phosphate prices down around 5% MOM, while urea rose 2%. Although RaboResearch expects urea prices to ease over the next six months, short-term downside potential may be limited by strong buying activity from India.Dairy: Dairy commodity prices are continuing to soften. A spike in milk production in most export regions is weighing on markets, which will continue into 1H 2026. The weaker commodity prices are pulling down farmgate prices in most dairy export regions.Consumer foods: Food inflation was steady at 3.2% in October despite big lifts in red meat prices. Consumer confidence jumped in November, marking its first positive reading since early 2022 and the highest level in seven years.Interest rates and FX: The recent run of strong economic data continued in November and has placed a big question mark over the prospect of further cuts to the RBA cash rate.Oil and freight: Oil prices continued to track lower in November and are likely to fall further early next year. Diesel prices are being supported by a lack of refining capacity and a consequently tight supply-demand picture.

Here are the main highlights for some of New Zealand’s key commodities this month. The full report covers the developments to watch in the upcoming weeks. Dairy: Plenty of milk for the market has pressured farmgate milk prices. Commodity price weakness is likely to be a feature in the near-term.Beef: Firm beef prices may be getting close to their seasonal peak, reflecting strong global demand and tight early supply. Export values are strong, and on-farm conditions may now be the key influence of supply dynamics.Sheepmeat: Sheepmeat prices remain elevated, supported by strong export demand and tight early supply. EU markets for lamb are a key driver, with farmgate returns likely at or near their seasonal peak with supply expected to ramp up in the coming weeks.Farm inputs: It was a mixed month for fertiliser prices, with phosphate prices down around 5% MOM, while urea rose 2%. Although RaboResearch expects urea prices to ease over the next six months, short-term downside potential may be limited by strong buying activity from India.Interest rates and FX: The RBNZ cut the OCR by 0.25ppts in November but sent a strong signal that it may be finished for the cycle. The New Zealand dollar was buoyed by signs that there may be no more cuts to come and is expected to rise further against the US dollar.Oil and freight: Oil prices continued to track lower in November and are likely to fall further early next year. Diesel prices are being supported by a lack of refining capacity and a consequently tight supply-demand picture.


 The Australian almond industry is entering a pivotal transition phase. Its success will support growth beyond 2030. Over the next five years, orchard renewals will reshape the industry's orchard age profile, while expansion into new areas could lift total planted area 5,000 to 10,000 hectares by 2030. Positive global demand fundamentals and limited supply growth in California should contribute to an improving market outlook, offering opportunities for the Australian industry to grow its share of the global market.

Short-term price support from China's tariffs on US almonds has boosted Australian export revenues to record levels in 2024/25, but this concentration has heightened market exposure to trade policy volatility. Longer term, the Australian almond industry's competitiveness will depend on maintaining a competitive cost base, including a favourable exchange rate, and water availability.

Almonds remain well positioned to meet growing demand for healthy tree nuts, yet scaling production will require further strategic investment in replanting and orchard development. Sustained growth will also depend on proactive market development, coupled with innovation and marketing, to boost domestic consumption and diversify export markets. 

Brazil, the world’s top arabica grower and second-largest robusta producer, is witnessing a quiet revolution: once-dismissed robusta is rapidly shedding its “cheap filler” image and emerging as a premium specialty coffee in its own right. In trendy São Paulo cafés, baristas now proudly serve 100 % robusta espressos — creamy, chocolatey, low-acid shots that deliberately flaunt the label “0 % Arabica”. Farmers in Espírito Santo state are investing heavily in modern drying, careful sorting and quality-focused post-harvest techniques, pushing specialty robusta output from 10 000 to a targeted 1.5 million bags by 2032. The shift is driven by climate pressure — over 75 % of Brazil’s best arabica land could become unsuitable by 2050 — and by soaring global demand. Specialty robusta prices have more than doubled since 2021, while the Specialty Coffee Association has rewritten its standards and flavour lexicon to embrace fine robusta on equal footing. Roasters worldwide are openly increasing robusta percentages in blends for cost, consistency and new taste profiles (fuller body, cocoa notes, pronounced bitterness), and consumers, especially in Brazil and Southeast Asia, are embracing it. The message is clear: robusta is no longer the poor cousin. With quality leaping forward, it is becoming a deliberate, celebrated choice — and a vital hedge as climate change reshapes coffee’s future.

World Farming Agriculture and Commodity news - Short update 1st December 2025

 
A breakthrough study by Texas A&M and USDA-ARS researchers has identified the genetic markers that determine sex in the southern cattle fever tick (Rhipicephalus microplus), the primary vector of bovine babesiosis — a devastating disease once known as Texas cattle fever.Led by doctoral candidate and USDA microbiologist Jason Tidwell, the discovery unlocks the potential for genetic control strategies — similar to those already used against screwworm flies and Aedes mosquitoes — that could manipulate tick sex ratios, crash populations and break disease transmission cycles.With no approved vaccines or treatments for babesiosis and growing acaricide resistance, these invasive cattle fever ticks remain a constant threat along the Texas-Mexico border despite the century-old eradication programme. The new findings offer a path to novel, environmentally friendly tools that could protect U.S. livestock and, potentially, extend to other tick-borne diseases affecting humans, such as Lyme disease.Researchers stress that the next phase — building detailed local tick genomes — will accelerate development of practical genetic control tactics, marking a major step forward in the fight against one of North America’s most economically damaging livestock pests.

World food commodity prices fell for a third consecutive month in November, with all major staple foods except cereals showing a decline, Reuters reported, citing the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organisation on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks a basket of globally traded food commodities, averaged 125.1 points in November, down from a revised 126.6 in October and the lowest since January.

The November average was also 2.1% below the year-earlier level and 21.9% down from a peak in March 2022 following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the FAO said.

The agency's sugar price reference fell 5.9% from October to its lowest since December 2020, pressured by ample global supply expectations, while the dairy price index dropped 3.1% in a fifth consecutive monthly decline, reflecting increased milk production and export supplies.

Vegetable oil prices fell 2.6% to a five-month low, as declines for most products including palm oil outweighed strength in soyoil.

Meat prices declined 0.8%, with pork and poultry leading the decrease, while beef quotations stabilised as the removal of US tariffs on beef imports tempered recent strength, the FAO said.

In contrast, the FAO's cereal price benchmark rose 1.8% month-on-month. Wheat prices increased due to potential demand from China and geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea region, while maize prices were supported by demand for Brazilian exports and reports of weather disruption to field work in South America.

In a separate cereal supply and demand report, the FAO raised its global cereal production forecast for 2025 to a record 3.003 billion metric tons, compared with 2.990 billion tons projected last month, mainly due to increased wheat output estimates.

Forecast world cereal stocks at the end of the 2025/26 season were also revised up to a record 925.5 million tons, reflecting expectations of expanded wheat stocks in China and India as well as higher coarse grain stocks in exporting countries, the FAO said.

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Commodities Top Performers

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) 4.46% 5.29 USD
Live Cattle 2.62% 2.27 USD
Heating Oil 2.61% 62.34 USD
Cocoa 2.50% 3,943.00 GBP
Copper 1.51% 11,645.00 USD

Commodity Prices

Precious Metals Price % +/- Unit Date
Gold
4,197.38
%
USD per Troy Ounce
07:30:00 AM
Palladium
1,465.50
%
USD per Troy Ounce
05:43:00 AM
Platinum
1,640.00
%
USD per Troy Ounce
05:43:00 AM
Silver
58.30
%
USD per Troy Ounce
05:43:00 AM
Energy Price % +/- Unit Date
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
5.29
4.46%
0.23
USD per MMBtu
12/5/2025
Heating Oil
62.34
2.61%
1.59
USD per 100 Liter
12/5/2025
Coal
97.25
0.26%
0.25
per Ton
12/5/2025
RBOB Gasoline
1.83
0.38%
0.01
per Gallone
12/5/2025
Oil (Brent)
63.75
0.60%
0.38
USD per Barrel
12/5/2025
Oil (WTI)
60.08
0.69%
0.41
USD per Barrel
12/5/2025
Industrial Metals Price % +/- Unit Date
Aluminium
2,907.00
-0.01%
-0.15
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Lead
1,967.00
0.25%
5.00
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Copper
11,645.00
1.51%
173.00
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Nickel
14,720.00
-0.03%
-5.00
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Zinc
3,222.00
-0.12%
-4.00
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Tin
40,300.00
0.01%
5.00
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Agriculture Price % +/- Unit Date
Cotton
0.62
-0.24%
USc per lb.
12/5/2025
Oats
2.97
-2.15%
-0.07
USc per Bushel
12/5/2025
Lumber
539.50
0.56%
3.00
per 1.000 board feet
12/5/2025
Coffee
4.06
-1.38%
-0.06
USc per lb.
12/5/2025
Cocoa
3,943.00
2.50%
96.00
GBP per Ton
12/5/2025
Live Cattle
2.27
2.62%
0.06
USD per lb.
12/5/2025
Lean Hog
0.82
0.59%
USc per lb.
12/5/2025
Corn
4.37
-0.17%
-0.01
USc per Bushel
12/5/2025
Feeder Cattle
3.39
0.71%
0.02
USc per lb.
12/5/2025
Milk
16.00
-0.62%
-0.10
USD per cwt.sh.
12/5/2025
Orange Juice
1.46
-3.13%
-0.05
USc per lb.
12/5/2025
Palm Oil
4,095.00
0.74%
30.00
Ringgit per Ton
12/5/2025
Rapeseed
476.50
0.42%
2.00
EUR per Ton
12/5/2025
Rice
9.97
-1.19%
-0.12
per cwt.
12/5/2025
Soybean Meal
304.70
-1.23%
-3.80
USD per Ton
12/5/2025
Soybeans
11.05
-1.27%
-0.14
USc per Bushel
12/5/2025
Soybean Oil
0.51
-0.33%
USD per lb.
12/5/2025
Wheat
192.00
-0.26%
-0.50
USc per Ton
12/5/2025
Sugar
0.15
-0.54%
USc per lb.
12/5/2025